The trend of lymphoma incidence in China from 2005 to 2017 and lymphoma incidence trend prediction from 2018 to 2035: a log-linear regression and Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis.

Conclusion From 2005 to 2017, the incidence of lymphoma showed an increasing trend, and was different in regions, genders, and age groups in China.

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The results of Local Drift showed a trend of cohort effect on the risk of incidence in the whole nation, in different genders, and in different regions, with a statistically significant difference ( Table 3 ; Figure 4 ).

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The Wald chi-square test results of Local Drift showed a decreasing trend in the risk of lymphoma incidence in the national level, in women, and in urban areas, but the difference was not statistically significant.

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