In JJA, a negative trend in WSC is observed over the northeastern Weddell Sea (Fig. 7a ) and likely contributed to 100–500 m subsurface warming and sea ice decline there (Figs.
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Pacific sub-decadal sea surface temperature variations contributed to recent Aantarctic Sea ice decline trend.
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In all seasons, the magnitudes of the ensemble-mean SLP are less than observed trends, mainly due to the ensemble averaging process.