Exploration of short-term predictions and long-term projections of Barents Sea cod biomass using statistical methods on data from dynamical models.

However, even if total stock biomass has a positive trend with an increase in copepods in the highest warming scenario SSP5–8.5, we found that it has a negative trend in the low emission scenario SSP1–2.6 when the regional ocean and ecosystem models show weak cooling and reduced zooplankton.

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TSB therefore has an increasing trend with an increase in prey abundance (GSP) in the warming scenario (SSP5–8.5), while it has a negative trend in the low emission scenario (SSP1–2.6) ( Fig 9 ).

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