Trend analysis of changes in the incidence of tuberculosis in Shenzhen from 2010 to 2020 based on the Joinpoint regression model.

BMC Public Health · 2025 · PMC12639698 · PMID 41272518

Europe PMC DOI

hedged sentences

0.0100

closest p · 0.2× alpha

0.0190

boldest claim

The sentences

an increasing trendP < 0.01actually significant

Among males, an increasing trend was observed from 2013 to 2018 ( APC = 10.29%, P < 0.01), followed by a significant decrease starting in 2018 ( APC =−30.78%, P < 0.01).

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a decreasing trendP = 0.019actually significant

A decreasing trend of the age-standardized rate was also seen in both sexes (males: AAPC =−5.18%, P = 0.019; females: AAPC =−3.34%, P = 0.046).

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did not reach statistical significanceno p-value reported

Among the seven subgroups aged 50 years and above, although the AAPC did not reach statistical significance, certain years exhibited significant upward or downward fluctuations.

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