Distance to the meadow edges and shoreline had no clear effect on daily nest survival, although they showed a negative trend in the Predation model (Figure 2 , Table 2 , mean P = −0.41, 95% CrI P = [−0.84, 0.01] for meadow edges; mean P = −0.36, 95% CrI P = [−0.82, 0.09] for shoreline).
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