However, a negative trend of 11 years matches the 2.5% Cancellation Timescale and exceeds the 5% Cancellation Timescale (8 years) associated with the RCP 8.5 forced signal, indicating that we may be able to reject this rate of forced warming at the 97.5% confidence level.
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Comparing the model-simulated global warming signal to observations using empirical estimates of unforced noise.
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