On the contribution of internal variability and external forcing factors to the Cooling trend over the Humid Subtropical Indo-Gangetic Plain in India.

3 \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$SNR=\frac{Forced}{Natural}=\frac{Mean}{Std}$$\end{document} S N R = F o r c e d N a t u r a l = M e a n S t d From these large ensembles, we quantified the chances that temperature had increased (or decreased) in the historical periods and also over the coming decades by counting the number of runs with a positive trend divided by the total number of runs for each model.

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It is noteworthy that a low chance of warming (positive trend) implies a high chance of a negative trend i.e. cooling.

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