Water Productivity Evaluation under Multi-GCM Projections of Climate Change in Oases of the Heihe River Basin, Northwest China.

[ 9 ] demonstrated that the SDSM showed a high efficiency for simulating the air temperature in Northern China, indicating a significant trend of increasing air temperature in the future.

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As shown in Figure 3 and Table 2 , compared with the precipitation during the baseline period at the 17 stations (excepting the Tuole and Qilian stations), the mean annual precipitation over the next 30 years showed a decreasing trend under all three RCP scenarios.

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Compared with the water productivity simulation based on field experiments during 2012–2015, the projected water productivity in the two typical agricultural areas (Gaotai and Ganzhou) both exhibited an increasing trend in the future 30 years, which was mainly attributed to the significant decrease of the crop water consumption.

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