Group membership dictates the neural correlates of social optimism biases.

For desirable events, we found a marginally significant main effect of competence (F (1, 44) = 4.32, p = 0.044, ηp 2 = 0.089) but no main effect of warmth (F (1, 44) = 1.77, p = 0.284, ηp 2 = 0.026) or an interaction effect between warmth and competence (F (1, 44) = 0.072, p = 0.407, ηp 2 = 0.016).

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The correlation with the parameter estimates in the PCUN/PCC did not reach statistical significance (r = 0.27, 95% CI [−0.01, 0.50]; Spearman rho = 0.30, p = 0.045, Benjamini-Hochberg corrected for two tests; Supplementary Fig.

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