Analysis and prediction of vegetation dynamics under the background of climate change in Xinjiang, China.

From 1981 to 2018, the precipitation showed a slightly increasing trend in Xinjiang with a rate of 14.482 mm/10 years (0.01 confidence level) ( Table 2 ).

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Specifically, the NDVI value of natural vegetation showed an increasing trend from 1981 to 2018, and the same changes occurred in the precipitation.

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The annual mean specific humidity showed a decreasing trend at a rate of 0.223 ×10 −3 /10 years (0.01 confidence level) during 1981 to 2018 ( Table 2 , Fig. 4A ).

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The temperature rose sharply in 1997 and then remained at a high level, meanwhile the precipitation in Xinjiang showed a trend of rising volatility.

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