( 14 ) demonstrated that, for many regions, a significant trend in extreme precipitation cannot be distinguished from natural variability until after the mid-21st century, but is identifiable earlier than for total precipitation.
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Significance Extreme precipitation is relevant to many interests, and observations show an increasing trend that is expected to continue under future projections.
This ratio can be used to determine the likelihood that an individual realization has a positive trend (see SI Appendix , Table S1 for details).