To summarize, at the center of the dry patch, around Day 24, cooling by LWNS dominates (and LHF) results in a negative trend in surface temperature anomaly, while at the edge of the dry patch, shortwave warming overcomes longwave cooling (and the small contribution from latent heat flux) so that a ring of warm water forms.
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Self-Aggregation of Convective Clouds With Interactive Sea Surface Temperature.
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