China's plastic import ban increases prospects of environmental impact mitigation of plastic waste trade flow worldwide.

From 2008 to 2016, the import flows of Southeast Asia 5 basically showed a trend of year-on-year increase (from 2.6 × 10 5 to 8.1 × 10 5 tons), with a good linear fitting effect ( R =0.936) and an average annual growth rate of 15.2%.

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In the situation where the data of the 9 years (from 2008 to 2016) fluctuate slightly and show an obvious trend, we used the average value of trade data from 2013 to 2016 to represent the Baseline Scenario; if it fluctuates greatly with no obvious future trend projection, the data of all 9 years is considered, and the average calculated to represent the Baseline Scenario.

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