Projections of leaf turgor loss point shifts under future climate change scenarios.

All the groups showed consistent trends toward more negative values of ΔΨ tlp particularly in the lowlands, although herbaceous angiosperms showed an increasing trend of ΔΨ tlp in the southern part of the study area which encompassed the lagoon (Figure 3c ).

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Gymnosperms displayed a negative trend in the lowland areas, while in the Alps and Prealps the pattern was more variable (Figure 3d ), likely due to the larger environmental heterogeneity in these grid cells.

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In contrast, gymnosperms were mainly threatened by a potential increase in Ψ tlp values in both simulations, particularly where the one simulating a lower plasticity displayed a slight trend consistent with the orography of the study area (Figure S10 ). 4.

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