Impacts of climate change on suitability zonation for potato cultivation in Jilin Province, Northeast China.

ATJ (mean = 22.42 °C) was between 20.50 °C to 24.50 °C, with a relatively small fluctuation range (CV 3 = 2.33%); DIF (mean = 9.77 °C) ranged from 8 °C to 11 °C, with a large fluctuation range (CV 4 = 3.85%); however, neither of them showed a significant trend ( P > 0.1).

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ADT was between 6.5–24.5 °C, showing an increasing trend and accounting for 93.36% of the total area (Fig. 4 b).

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DIF was between 7.0–16.0 °C in Jilin Province, which showed a decreasing trend in 88.71% of the regions, with a climate trend slope range of − 0.45–0 °C decade −1 .

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During the potato growth period (April to September) of 1961–2018 in Jilin Province, AAT showed a significant upward trend, SD showed a downward trend, and PP fluctuated to a large extent without showing an obvious trend.

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“Most suitable” and “Suitable” areas for potato cultivation showed a trend towards northward expansion.

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