Barely Significant

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We evaluated abstracts from 15 urology journals published within the years 2000-2021 and provided a quantitative measure of a common statistical mistake-misconstruing the function of null hypothesis testing by reporting “a trend toward significance.” Materials and methods We performed an audit of 15 urology journals, looking at articles published from January 1, 2000, to January 1, 2022.
“Prostate cancer survival” demonstrated four trends with the first from January 2004 to June 2007 as a nonsignificant trend of -1.5 (-6.6, 3.8), and then a significant 6mPC of 25.3* from July 2008 to December 2010 (15.3, 123.9), followed by a significant 6mPC of -2.9* from January 2010 to June 2018 (-5.3, -0.5), and then finally an upward trend of 8.7 from January 2018 to the time of data collection (0.6, 17.5).
“Prostatectomy” (compared to prostate radiation), demonstrated two trends, with the first demonstrating a negative trend of -1.7* (-2.2, -1.1) from January 2004 to December 2015, and then became positive starting from January 2016 with a significant 6mPC of 3.3* (1.4, 3.5). “Prostate Radiation” (compared to prostatectomy) had one consistent significant trend throughout the study with a 6mPC of 1.22* (0.6, 1.9). “Pros
The term “prostate cancer” demonstrated two trends within the time period, with the first trend from January 2004 to December 2015 with a 6mPC of -1.7* (-2.1, -1.4), and then changing to a positive trend starting from January 2016 with a 6mPC of 1.2* (0.4-2.1) until the time of data collection. “Prostate cancer survival” demonstrated four trends with the first from January 2004 to June 2007 as a nonsignificant trend of -1.5 (-6.6, 3.8), and then a significant 6mPC of 25.3* from July 2008 to December 2010 (15.3, 123.9), followed by a significant 6mPC of -2.9* from January 2010 to June 2018 (-5.3, -0.5), and then finally an upward trend of 8.7 from January 2018 to the time of data collection (0.6, 17.5).